Paul Walters

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Perhaps It's Time To Pour A Little Cold Water On the Subject Of Global Warming.

Perhaps It's Time To Pour A Little Cold Water On the Subject Of Global Warming.



I wrote this post three and a half years ago and, re-reading it today I thought it prudent to repost it given that much has happened in the last three years. ( Greta Thunberg for one) As the decade draws rapidly to its inevitable conclusion, I do believe that we all SHOULD be concerned about the changing patterns of the climate but to try to keep in mind what has gone before.


Now this is a post that will in all likelihood get me into a bit of hot water, however, fellow bees, keep your wings on, it's just an observation!


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Before I begin I would like to state that I am NOT a scientist, nor an expert on climate or climate change for that matter. I am a merely a writer and more importantly, a reader. I am however fortunate to have the luxury of time, which means I am able to devour the written word across a myriad of mediums from scientific journals to banal and hysterical posts published on the likes of beBee and other like-minded sites.

I, like millions of others, are drawn to articles that tell us that, ‘ 2018 Was The Hottest Year On Record!” “ The Polar IceCaps Are Melting!”  "Sea levels Are Rising! “ blah, blah, blah, etc. etc. etc.

Over the past few months while editing a novel I veered away from the boredom of correcting my own grammar and punctuation to delve into the mystery of climate change and how it's affecting our day-to-day lives; It was to Frederick William Herschel, (1738 –1822) I turned and his remarkable research into sunspots. Oh, he also ‘discovered ‘ Uranus so I guess he was a pretty good astronomer


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What I found was quite startling!

Now, I have to ask the question as to why we are all buying into the propaganda of the concept of global warming? To find out, I gave Al Gore’s little PowerPoint presentation, ‘ An Inconvenient Truth,’ another viewing and found his theories to be full of some pretty mighty holes.


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Let us start with co2 emissions. After reading a plethora of information I have come to the conclusion that cutting co2 emissions won't change the climate one iota. Here’s why. CO2 levels rise as a result of heat thus when the planet warms co2 is released into the atmosphere but, it takes 800 – 1000 years to show up as raised co2 levels!

 Lets also not forget that plants adore co2 and in return give us back our life-giving oxygen, Don’t get me wrong, I would love to see a reduction of cars on the roads, far less land clearing and fewer factories spewing out noxious gasses into the atmosphere. But it’s not that, that’s changing the climate.

 To find out more, perhaps we should have a peek at the history books. 

Between the years 800- 1280 the planet began to warm after a protracted period of glacial cold, which produced some astonishing results. Greenland became a utopia of fertile valleys and lush meadows and evidence has been found that the Vikings farmed livestock as far north as Upernavik which today is permanently covered in ice.


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During this period of balmy weather Europe flourished producing record crop outputs. Even the UK was producing wine at a rate greater than France with their vineyards stretching almost to the Scottish border. In short, this period of climate change created a glorious period of prosperity until it came crashing down when the climate shifted yet again and glacial cold reemerged.

So, what caused this rapid cooling? 


 In short, the sun.

 During that particular period, the earth suffered one of the five solar minimums of the last thousand years. A solar minimum is when the sun enters a low - ebb, and sunspot activity declines and it puts out less energy, which is when the planets get colder. From 1280- 1350 places like Greenland suddenly became covered in ice forcing the Vikings to abandon their settlements. In Scotland, the population had to move south to survive, while right across Europe and northern Asia famines raged.


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 From the period 1850 – 2016 sunspot activity has been at its highest recorded levels meaning the Earth’s climate has been warming, but now, once again the sun is entering a solar minimum.

This might explain why in the U.S.A. winters are getting colder with temperatures dropping 2 degrees on average each year. The last two years have seen some of the biggest snowstorms since records began. Ice cover on the Great lakes reached 80 % with many cargo vessels becoming icebound. 

Britain recorded its coldest winter in fifteen years, while Sweden topped that with its coldest winter in over one hundred years!


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Some glaciers around the world are beginning to grow again while the Antarctic ice levels have in the last few years expanded to unprecedented levels. Snowfalls in South Korea, South Africa Jordan Turkey and Libya were the highest ever seen.

 But, aren’t we being told the earth is getting warmer?

 Since 1990, due to budget cuts, only 20 % of the world’s surface is now monitored by weather stations and most of the ones that remain are centred around large cities where urban heat is at its most fierce. We are continually told that the Arctic ice cap is melting and the polar bear population is dying as a result, even though their numbers have increased by 5000 in the last 15 years! Hurricanes are getting a lot bigger, yet not as big as in the 1940s. Coral atolls are sinking, but could it be that this is due to the weight of the population living on them?


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A vast amount of money is being pumped into "fighting" climate change by way of green taxes, carbon credits and something called clean nuclear energy. One of the biggest players is G.E. whose vast holdings include an array of alternative energy companies. Is it any surprise then when, a few years ago, they purchased the Weather Channel as, what better way to tell the world about climate-related disasters backed up by the tons of skewed data they put out on a daily basis?

Nothing is more inherently political than our shared physical environment, and nothing is more ill-served by allegiance to a single political party. One faction according, to its own economic or aesthetic preferences cannot manage the environment we share. Sooner or later, the opposing faction will take power, and previous policies will be reversed. Stable management of the environment requires recognition that all preferences have their place. These are often at odds, and their incompatible goals cannot be avoided. However, resolving incompatible goals is a true function of politics.

I live in hope.

To harness climate or indeed, trying to change it is a daunting prospect no matter how we approach it. Our feeble attempts and they will always be feeble, are simply no match for what the earth has planned for us.

Earthquakes are continuous: one and a half million a year; a moderate Richter 5 quake every five hours, a larger earthquake every ten days. Tsunamis race across the Pacific on average every three months. Our atmosphere is as violent as the land beneath it. At any given moment there are one thousand electrical storms across the planet. Eleven lightning bolts strike the ground every second, Tornados tears across the surface every six hours. And every four hours a giant cyclonic storm, hundreds of miles in diameter, spins over the ocean and creates havoc on the land.

We as a species can but do one thing.... run and hide.

My personal beliefs are that the people living on this planet in 2100 will be richer than we are, consume more energy, have a smaller global population and enjoy more wildernesses than we have today. I don't think we have to worry about them. I have more respect for people who change their views after acquiring new information than those who cling to views they held thirty years ago. The world changes, ideologues and zealots do not."

The reality is, all we can do is run from the storms


As I mentioned at the beginning of this piece, I am neither a scientist nor even remotely qualified to voice an opinion on such complex issues as, 'what is or isn’t causing the climate to change', but I felt this morning the need to have a bit of a rant.

So I shall retire now to re-read the diaries of that wonderful 17th-century astronomer, Mr Hershelle who predicted that by the end of the 21st century we will have entered yet another full- blown ice age.

 In the meantime, must dash and get a warm coat before they sell out…. just saying!


Paul v Walters is an international best selling author and when not cocooned in sloth and procrastination spends his time scribbling for several travel and vox pop journals. His latest novel, ‘Scimitar’ was released in September 2016.

Re-Posted and updated 31st December 2019

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Komentar

CityVP Manjit

4 tahun yang lalu #15

The promise of clean nuclear reactors seems interesting but still a long way off - with the earliest scaling of this technology pegged at 2050. Whatever crazy stuff we are doing now, there is crazier stuff to undo our present crazy, but are we sure that we are not creating a new next level crazy?

Paul Walters

4 tahun yang lalu #14

#46
Mark Blevins I agree with everything you say in your well-informed comment. I live in Indonesia where the plastic pollution problem is quite frankly appalling! There is a great need for basic information to combat this. Plastic production has been largely been introduced by 'western' bottling companies. ( Coca Cola should walk the walk of shame) My piece, always a contentious subject and a departure for me, however as a student of history I find the documented climate facts interesting. Also one only has to go back to1815 and the eruption of Mt Tambora on the island of Sumbawa to see just how one event can change the global climate in just18 months. Europe and the midwest of the USA had two years of no summers! Millions died of famine, so nature DOES have its own way of changing conditions!!

Mark Blevins

4 tahun yang lalu #13

Maybe you're right, but I still think it's a good idea to expand renewable fuel sources like wind power and solar. Not to mention dealing with pollution-plastic microfibers are said to be the most damaging because the earth can't re-absorb them. Just because the earth might be going though a natural cycle doesn't mean people should stop trying to clean up our own mess.

Paul Walters

4 tahun yang lalu #12

#44
Ken Boddie I totally agree with you ken, we have inflicted too much damage on our fragile planet. Indonesia continues to slash and burn its forests, we dump plastic into the oceans and America has repealed every single EPA bill that Obama introduced. My point was, and is that climate change is a naturally occurring phenomenon except, this time around we humans are helping to speed up the process. Anyway, we live in hope. Also, may you guys get rain real soon, its a frightening situation Australia is dealing with right now...stay safe.

Ken Boddie

4 tahun yang lalu #11

A lot of could be's and would be's and maybe's here, bro. I prefer to take my guidance from Sir David Attenborough and the 11,000 scientists from 153 countries who've declared a climate emergency. Don't know about the boys and girls in Bali, but here in Oz we're living this emergency at the moment. You don't need to be a scientist to see that spewing tons of crap into the atmosphere over relatively recent times will have a major impact and that it's a safer bet to stop the reliance on fossil fuels than to go on doing nothing. Even the Chinese are severely cutting back on their fossil fuel usage.

Paul Walters

7 tahun yang lalu #10

#41
Robert Bacal I agree with all you say. As mentioned all I do is read about this stuff and write a piece now and then !!!

Paul Walters

7 tahun yang lalu #9

#40
Kevin Baker Oh, I'm sure they were around !!!

Paul Walters

7 tahun yang lalu #8

ime to give this guy another run on beBEE

Ali Anani

7 tahun yang lalu #7

I teach people never to add water to hot oil. Likewise; I wouldn't advise adding cold water to the hot issue of global warming. You know why dear Margaret Aranda, MD, PhD. The heat of dilution will make oil splash and burn. It is always the opposite as we may pour hot oil gradually to cold water. I would use reverse thinking- how to gradually add the hot issue of global warming to cold hearts who don't care?

Paul Walters

7 tahun yang lalu #6

#31
Thanks for stopping by debasish majumder much appreciated

Paul Walters

7 tahun yang lalu #5

#16
Thanks Neal, As I mentioned in the post I am neither a scientist nor and expert, merely a reader who churns out a post or two. Apologies for any factual arrors but these were probably not mine...just saying !

Paul Walters

7 tahun yang lalu #4

#6
Absolutely true william we groan under the weight of 7 billion. I dont know whethet we can support such numbers. The earth will tell us !!!

Paul Walters

7 tahun yang lalu #3

#3
nah he'll never come still busy being that guy who was almost president!

Dean Owen

7 tahun yang lalu #2

@Al Gore, a rebuttal please? (someone invite him to beBee!)

Paul Walters

7 tahun yang lalu #1

#1
Thanks Dale. When this article ran in a magazine a couple of months ago I actually got hate mail!!

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